Youyou Xu L&S Social Sciences
Overconfident ML Architectures and Their Psychological Analogs
Human decision processes often succumb to overconfidence: feeling excessively certain.This study aims to bridge psychology and computer science, and uncover the factors that drive overconfidence in both humans and machines. I identify a cohesive set of quantitative heuristics that impact confidence judgments in both humans and machines while also distinguishing factors that apply exclusively to either of them. If successful, the study’s findings might yield insights that help to better calibrate human confidence and improve uncertainty quantification for ensemble and neural network models in computer vision and image processing.
Message To Sponsor
The SURF study over the summer provided me with an immersive and challenging research experience, setting me up well for future graduate school journeys. Working with you was very fun, inspiring me to think deeper and transform perspectives. It made my summer very rich and fruitful. I can't wait to further my project with you and other Haas faculty.
Major: Statistics, Economics
Mentor: David Holtz
Sponsor: Leadership